Measures to Win
#1 Closeness Measure (+/- the Record)
Listen closely...
You've got to get the Record right!
Your first job is to match your teams' record by the end of the season. If your team ends the season with 50 wins, you want to be right at 50 wins. That's as CLOSE as you can get! If you predicted 51 wins you'll be at +1 (or one game off the record with too many wins). Predicting 52 games would put you at +2 and further away from winning. At 49 wins predicted you would be at -1 (not enough wins). Get the picture?
At the end of any one month you may be On The Record or off either way by one or several games. That's where adjustments will have to be made monthly and Recapping Rookies generally fall apart.
The Closeness Measure is primary. The other two measures are used as tie-breakers only. So, I'll say this one more time...
You've got to get the Record right!
#2 Accuracy Measure (% correct)
Yes, this is a tie-breaking measure but, it will be used and, more than likely, it will determine the contests winner. Bottom line is, when you predicted a Win, did your team Win? When you predicted a Loss, did your team Lose? Those are good predictions and will raise your Accuracy percentage.
However, if you predict your team to Win and it Loses or you predict your team to Lose and it Wins, that's going to hurt you. Your Accuracy percentage will go down.
#3 Streak Measure
In case it's needed (but it never has), we'll keep track of every players beginning-of-the-year Accuracy Streak. So, your start could be really important!
If at the end of the season, 2 or more players for the team they are predicting are tied for the Closeness Measure and tied in the Accuracy Measure, we'll look to their beginning-of-the-year Accuracy Streak. Whoever is better, will be declared the winner.
So, that's it!
Get the Record Right and be Accurate! You'll see after each game where you are relative to The Recapper and everyone else. Good luck and may the best visionary win!
The Recapper